PlayerWide receiver · SFUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · WR · SF
Mike Evans
10 targets, 7 for 113 and a score, 37% of the throws; 14% → 23% → 28% → 37%. Deebo is out for weeks. Up eleven; high risk is the hip, and the model has him 30th.
Alpha target
Tier 5 · Potential stars, with questions
Risk · High
#40Board rank
#30Model rank
WR17Position
68ADP
12.4Proj. PPG
+4.3Over replacement
+28vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 67 | 68 | — | Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 67 | 68 | — | Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 70 | 52 | ▲ 16 | Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 70 | 50 | ▲ 2 | Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 73 | 52 | ▼ 2 | 6 targets, 3 for 34 and a score on the hip he was questionable with all week. High risk is the hip and the age in a receiver room that's thin with Robinson out. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 46 | 51 | ▲ 1 | 8 targets, 5 for 76, 28% (14% → 23% → 28%). High risk is the hip he's been managing all month. Up one. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 30 | 40 | ▲ 11 | 10 targets, 7 for 113 and a score, 37% of the throws; 14% → 23% → 28% → 37%. Deebo is out for weeks. Up eleven; high risk is the hip, and the model has him 30th. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
141Targets
1109Rec yds
9.8Rec TD