Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · LAR

Puka Nacua

24 targets Monday night. Twenty-four. 17 for 138 and a score, 44% of a 54-attempt game, in his second game back from the hip. The model has him 2nd now that the Rams' totals match their pace; I'm at 5 and the hip is the only reason it isn't higher. Up four.

Alpha target Tier 1 · GOATs Risk · High
#5Board rank
#2Model rank
WR1Position
6ADP
21.0Proj. PPG
+12.9Over replacement
+1vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #8#8#7#11#14#9#5PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason68——
Sep 9Week 168—Could win you your league but I prefer JSN and Amon Ra for alphas without the question marks in RD1.
Sep 16Week 257▲ 1Could win you your league but I prefer JSN and Amon Ra for alphas without the question marks in RD1.
Sep 23Week 3511▼ 4Sat out Monday with the hip and groin; Adams went for 195 without him. One game, and the flag is the health.
Oct 1Week 4614▼ 3Two games missed with the hip; McVay is hopeful for Sunday at Philadelphia. High risk is the hip, not the player. The model has him 6th and he goes back toward it the week he plays.
Oct 7Week 549▲ 5Back from the hip: 12 targets, 9 for 125 and a rushing score in a 51-attempt game. High risk stays for the hip and nothing else. Up five.
Oct 14Week 625▲ 424 targets Monday night. Twenty-four. 17 for 138 and a score, 44% of a 54-attempt game, in his second game back from the hip. The model has him 2nd now that the Rams' totals match their pace; I'm at 5 and the hip is the only reason it isn't higher. Up four.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

12Carries
54Rush yds
0.5Rush TD
218Targets
2004Rec yds
12.1Rec TD